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Old Dominion Monarchs

00 · 00 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
43%
Sun Belt title game
14%
Win the Sun Belt
2%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat App State.
Playoff odds by week

If Old Dominion wins out: 44% to win the Sun Belt, 20% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Old Dominion's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Old Dominion at App State

Your game. Beat App State and your playoff odds are 3%; lose and they drop to <1%.

Old Dominion 79%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
James Madison at Georgia Southern

Sun Belt race: James Madison losing helps your spot in the standings; Georgia Southern visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

James Madison 93%
TBD
TUE OCT 6
Southern Miss at Troy

Sun Belt race: Troy losing helps your spot in the standings; Southern Miss visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Troy 70%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Sun Belt race: Louisiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Louisiana Tech visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.

Louisiana Tech 67%
TBD
THU OCT 8
South Florida at UTSA

UTSA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

South Florida 67%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Georgia at Alabama
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
Stanford at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.