Old Dominion Monarchs
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 5 · 2026
46%
Sun Belt title game
20%
Win the Sun Belt
5%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.4
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-5 job: beat Georgia State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Old Dominion's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Old Dominion at Georgia State
Your game. Beat Georgia State and your playoff odds are 6%; lose and they drop to 2%.
Old Dominion 82%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 3
Marshall at James Madison
Marshall visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
James Madison 88%
TBD
SAT OCT 3
UL Monroe at South Alabama
Sun Belt race: South Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings.
South Alabama 83%
52 more games that don't move your needle
Army at Louisiana Tech
North Texas at Tulsa
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech
Penn State at Northwestern
Liberty at Delaware
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Alabama at Mississippi State
Florida at Missouri
Kentucky at South Carolina
Auburn at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Baylor at Arizona State
BYU at TCU
UCF at Houston
Cincinnati at Arizona
Texas Tech at Colorado
West Virginia at Iowa State
Boston College at SMU
California at UNLV
Louisville at NC State
Miami at Clemson
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Stanford at Wake Forest
Syracuse at UConn
Virginia at Florida State
Purdue at Illinois
Ohio State at Iowa
Michigan at Minnesota
Maryland at Nebraska
Indiana at Rutgers
Washington at USC
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Utah State at Boise State
Oregon State at Colorado State
Texas State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Washington State
Memphis at Charlotte
UTSA at Rice
Navy at Air Force
Temple at South Florida
San José State at Hawai'i
UTEP at New Mexico
Akron at Central Michigan
Toledo at Ball State
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Ohio at Kent State
Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.