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Old Dominion Monarchs

00 · 00 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
46%
Sun Belt title game
20%
Win the Sun Belt
5%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.4
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat Coastal Carolina.
Playoff odds by week

If Old Dominion wins out: 51% to win the Sun Belt, 46% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Old Dominion's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina

Your game. Beat Coastal Carolina and your playoff odds are 7%; lose and they drop to 1%.

Old Dominion 79%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
THU NOV 5
James Madison at Southern Miss

Sun Belt race: James Madison losing helps your spot in the standings; Southern Miss visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

James Madison 86%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
UL Monroe at Arkansas State

Sun Belt race: Arkansas State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Arkansas State 82%
58 more games that don't move your needle
Marshall at Georgia Southern
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
TCU at Arizona
Virginia Tech at SMU
South Florida at East Carolina
Arkansas at Auburn
Oklahoma at Florida
Alabama at LSU
Georgia at Ole Miss
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Texas at Missouri
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
BYU at Utah
UCF at Kansas
Cincinnati at Houston
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Iowa at Northwestern
Oregon at Ohio State
Maryland at Purdue
Penn State at Washington
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Tulsa at Tulane
Air Force at Army
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Miami at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.