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Old Dominion Monarchs

00 · 00 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
46%
Sun Belt title game
20%
Win the Sun Belt
5%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.4
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Louisiana Tech.
Playoff odds by week

If Old Dominion wins out: 51% to win the Sun Belt, 46% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Old Dominion's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech

Your game. Beat Louisiana Tech and your playoff odds are 8%; lose and they drop to 2%.

Old Dominion 59%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
THU OCT 22
James Madison at App State

Sun Belt race: James Madison losing helps your spot in the standings.

James Madison 88%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Louisiana at Southern Miss

Sun Belt race: Louisiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Southern Miss visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Southern Miss 56%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Georgia State at Arkansas State

Sun Belt race: Arkansas State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Arkansas State 76%
50 more games that don't move your needle
South Alabama at Marshall
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
North Texas at Navy
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
UL Monroe at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.