🏈 Fan Watch

UTSA Roadrunners

3–1 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

UTSA's rebuilt defense opens conference play with nothing settled

UTSA beat Colorado State 59-45 while allowing 500 yards, and a banged-up Rice team missing captains is the cleanest test yet of which defense is real.

Read the rooting guide →
A UTSA player in white carries the ball against Army in 2022.
UTSA faces Army at Michie Stadium in 2022.
CreditPhoto creditUnited States Military AcademyWikimedia Commons · Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

UTSA at Rice
…
…
ESPN+
Final
UTSA
Final · UTSA 16–14 RiceWish granted ✓
Rice

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result UTSA wanted
…
…
ESPN
Impact 1
North Texas
at
Rooted for
Tulsa
Final · North Texas 45–44 TulsaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

North Texas won instead, so UTSA did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection19% if Tulsa won15% with the other result3.3-point differenceUTSA American title-game chance
…
…
ESPNU
Impact 2
Rooted for
Temple
at
South Florida
Final · Temple 17–13 South FloridaWish granted ✓
Projected 3.1-point title-game boost

South Florida lost, improving UTSA's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection18% if Temple won15% with the other result3.1-point differenceUTSA American title-game chance
…
…
ESPN+
Impact 3
Memphis
at
Rooted for
Charlotte
Final · Memphis 59–8 CharlotteWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Memphis won instead, so UTSA did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if Charlotte won15% with the other result1.9-point differenceUTSA American title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Army at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Liberty at Delaware · CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern · FOX
Alabama at Mississippi State · ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas · ESPNU
UCF at Houston · ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State · TNT
Boston College at SMU · The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina · ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn · CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota · FOX
Navy at Air Force · CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin · BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia · SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State · ESPN+
Florida at Missouri · ABC
Auburn at Tennessee · ESPN
California at UNLV · CBSSN
Louisville at NC State · ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State · ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa · CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State · The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State · ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison · ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska · FS1
UTEP at New Mexico · MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois · BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State · USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M · ESPN2
BYU at TCU · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado · FOX
Miami at Clemson · ABC
Washington at USC · NBC
Utah State at Boise State · CBSSN
Indiana at Rutgers · BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State · USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State · ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State · The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona · FOX
San José State at Hawai'i · MW+
The rooting list was:UTSA, then Tulsa, Temple, Charlotte.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.