UTSA Roadrunners
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 7 · 2026
31%
American title game
16%
Win the American
7%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.2
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-7 job: beat Navy.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves UTSA's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Navy at UTSA
Your game. Beat Navy and your playoff odds are 10%; lose and they drop to 3%.
UTSA 68%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Florida Atlantic at Army
American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida Atlantic visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Army 87%
TBD
THU OCT 15
East Carolina at UAB
American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; UAB visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
East Carolina 73%
TBD
SAT OCT 17
Georgia State at James Madison
Georgia State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
James Madison 97%
53 more games that don't move your needle
Florida International at Jacksonville State
Delaware at Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State at Missouri State
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
Memphis at Tulane
App State at Coastal Carolina
Auburn at Georgia
Mississippi State at LSU
Missouri at Ole Miss
Kentucky at Oklahoma
Alabama at Tennessee
Florida at Texas
Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Notre Dame at BYU
Arizona State at Texas Tech
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Kansas at Kansas State
Oklahoma State at Houston
TCU at Baylor
Utah at Colorado
Florida State at Miami
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
Louisville at Syracuse
North Carolina at Duke
Pittsburgh at Boston College
Virginia at SMU
Wake Forest at California
Ohio State at Indiana
Rutgers at Maryland
Penn State at Michigan
Northwestern at Michigan State
Nebraska at Oregon
Washington at Purdue
Wisconsin at UCLA
Washington State at Oregon State
Fresno State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Texas State
Charlotte at Temple
Tulsa at Rice
Kent State at South Florida
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Northern Illinois at Wyoming
San José State at UTEP
UNLV at Air Force
Ball State at Bowling Green
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Western Michigan at Central Michigan
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Akron at Miami (OH)
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Troy at Louisiana
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.