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UTSA Roadrunners

00 · 00 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
31%
American title game
16%
Win the American
7%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.2
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Tulane.
Playoff odds by week

If UTSA wins out: 55% to win the American, 50% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves UTSA's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 24
UTSA at Tulane

Your game. Beat Tulane and your playoff odds are 13%; lose and they drop to 3%.

Tulane 54%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI OCT 23
Army at Tulsa

American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings; Tulsa visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Army 78%
TBD
THU OCT 22
East Carolina at Memphis

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings.

Memphis 56%
51 more games that don't move your needle
James Madison at App State
Rice at Florida Atlantic
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
North Texas at Navy
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.