North Texas Mean Green

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Way too early

WEEK 15 · 2026

37%

American title game

20%

Win the American

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 11.1

Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15

If North Texas wins out: 58% to win the American, 58% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves North Texas's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves North Texas's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Navy at Army

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.