Penn State Nittany Lions

6–6 · 3–6 BIG TEN

In the books

WEEK 17 · 2025

Big Ten title game

Win the Big Ten

<1%

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 9.4

The Big Ten title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

This week is in the books — the rundown below shows how each wish landed.

Playoff odds by week

If Penn State wins out: 0% to win the Big Ten, <1% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Penn State's odds. Enjoy the football.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 17, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.