South Florida Bulls
7–3 · 4–2 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
4%
American title game
3%
Win the American
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → 2% · title-game odds 4% → 3%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves South Florida's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB
Your game. Win and your American Athletic title-game odds are 4%; lose and they fall to 0%.
Final · South Florida 48–18 UABWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPNU
North Texas at Rice
American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; you already beat North Texas; them losing again keeps them behind you; Rice visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · North Texas 56–24 RiceWent the other way ✗
Root for Rice+34.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA
American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat UTSA — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · East Carolina 24–58 UTSAWish granted ✓
Root for UTSA+6.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
Washington State at James Madison
Washington State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Washington State 20–24 James MadisonWent the other way ✗
Root for Washington State+1.9 pp playoff odds
56 more games that don't move your needle
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13).