🏈 Fan Watch

Fresno State Bulldogs

7–3 · 4–2 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
The Week 13 recap

Fresno State lost to Utah State. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 0%.

Your game

Utah State at Fresno State
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Final
Utah State
Final · Utah State 28–17 Fresno StateWent the other way ✗
Fresno State

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Fresno State wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Colorado State
at
Boise State
Final · Colorado State 21–49 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 19.4-point title-game boost

Boise State won instead, so Fresno State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection43% if Colorado State won23% with the other result19-point differenceFresno State MW title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Hawai'i
at
UNLV
Final · Hawai'i 10–38 UNLVWent the other way ✗
Projected 8.5-point title-game boost

UNLV won instead, so Fresno State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Hawai'i won23% with the other result8.5-point differenceFresno State MW title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
San José State
at
San Diego State
Final · San José State 3–25 San Diego StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 7.5-point title-game boost

San Diego State won instead, so Fresno State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection32% if San José State won24% with the other result7.5-point differenceFresno State MW title-game chance
56 other games had little impact
Nevada at Wyoming
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
The rooting list was:Fresno State, then Colorado State, Hawai'i, San José State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.