Liberty Flames
0–0 · 0–0 CONFERENCE USA
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
37%
CUSA title game
20%
Win the CUSA
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-6 job: beat Sam Houston.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Liberty's pathYour game
TBD
THU OCT 8
Sam Houston at Liberty
Your game. Win and your Conference USA title-game odds are 39%; lose and they fall to 17%.
Liberty 89%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
WED OCT 7
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
Conference USA race: Jacksonville State losing helps your spot in the standings; Kennesaw State visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Jacksonville State 54%
54 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Troy
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Georgia at Alabama
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.