๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Liberty Flames

0โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2026
Week 2 pregame guide

The ground game has to make Liberty comfortable again

Liberty gets Gardner-Webb at home with a 99.6% win chance, but the useful result is a restored rushing attack and a game finished without suspense.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
An aerial view of Liberty's Williams Stadium with Flames wordmarks on the field.
Williams Stadium, home of Liberty football.
CreditPhoto creditQuintin SolovievWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Gardner-Webb at Liberty
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Final
Gardner-Webb
Final ยท Gardner-Webb 23โ€“24 LibertyWish granted โœ“
Liberty

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Liberty wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Middle Tennessee
at
Marshall
Final ยท Middle Tennessee 26โ€“28 MarshallWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Marshall won instead, so Liberty did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Middle Tennessee won20% with the other result1.6-point differenceLiberty playoff chance
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Impact 2
South Florida
at
Rooted for
Army
Final ยท South Florida 28โ€“24 ArmyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

South Florida won instead, so Liberty did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Army won20% with the other result1.4-point differenceLiberty playoff chance
47 other games had little impact
Buffalo at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Rutgers at Boston College ยท ESPN2
Missouri at Kansas ยท FOX
Oklahoma at Michigan ยท FOX
Arizona State at Texas A&M ยท ABC
Washington State at Kansas State ยท TNT
Oregon at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
Wake Forest at Purdue ยท FS1
Penn State at Temple ยท ESPN2
App State at East Carolina ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Alabama at Kentucky ยท ABC
Mississippi State at Minnesota ยท CBS
UCF at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN2
Arizona at BYU ยท FOX
California at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Duke at Illinois ยท FS1
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State ยท BTN
Maryland at UConn ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Washington ยท BTN
Rice at Notre Dame ยท NBC
UTSA at Texas State ยท The CW Network
UL Monroe at UAB ยท ESPN+
UNLV at North Texas ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Memphis at Boise State ยท USA Network
Jacksonville State at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Bowling Green at Nebraska ยท FS1
Tulsa at Sam Houston ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Tulane ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at UCLA ยท BTN
Ohio State at Texas ยท ABC
Texas Tech at Oregon State ยท CBS
Iowa State at Iowa ยท NBC
Georgia Southern at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Navy at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU ยท SECN+
Southern Miss at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Charlotte at Ole Miss ยท ESPN2
North Dakota State at Air Force ยท FS1
Arkansas at Utah ยท ESPN
Sacramento State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
Louisiana at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico State at Hawai'i ยท MW+
The rooting list was:Liberty, then Middle Tennessee, Army.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.