🏈 Fan Watch

UNLV Rebels

2–2 · 1–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

UNLV's cleanest game of the year meets a Cal defense that takes the ball away

Jackson Arnold's 290-yard, three-touchdown day at Akron gave UNLV its best offensive performance of 2026. Cal comes to Allegiant Stadium to see whether it travels.

Read the rooting guide →
UNLV runs the ball against Air Force.
UNLV faces Air Force.
CreditPhoto creditSrA Brian Ybarbo, USAFWikimedia Commons · Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

California at UNLV
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CBSSN
Final
California
Final · California 31–39 UNLVWish granted ✓
UNLV

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result UNLV wanted
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…
MW+
Impact 1
Rooted for
UTEP
at
New Mexico
Final · UTEP 7–61 New MexicoWent the other way ✗
Projected 6.9-point title-game boost

New Mexico won instead, so UNLV did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if UTEP won29% with the other result6.9-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
…
…
The CW Network
Impact 2
Rooted for
Wyoming
at
North Dakota State
Final · Wyoming 0–28 North Dakota StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.3-point title-game boost

North Dakota State won instead, so UNLV did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if Wyoming won29% with the other result4.3-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
…
…
MW+
Impact 3
San José State
at
Rooted for
Hawai'i
Final · San José State 20–16 Hawai'iWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.2-point title-game boost

San José State won instead, so UNLV did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Hawai'i won27% with the other result3.2-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa · ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Liberty at Delaware · CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern · FOX
Memphis at Charlotte · ESPN+
Alabama at Mississippi State · ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas · ESPNU
UCF at Houston · ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State · TNT
Boston College at SMU · The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina · ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn · CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota · FOX
Navy at Air Force · CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin · BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia · SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State · ESPN+
Florida at Missouri · ABC
Auburn at Tennessee · ESPN
Louisville at NC State · ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State · ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa · CBS
Akron at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State · ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison · ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois · BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State · USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M · ESPN2
BYU at TCU · ESPN
UTSA at Rice · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado · FOX
Miami at Clemson · ABC
Washington at USC · NBC
Utah State at Boise State · CBSSN
Temple at South Florida · ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers · BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State · USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State · ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State · The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona · FOX
The rooting list was:UNLV, then UTEP, Wyoming, Hawai'i.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.