๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Fresno State Bulldogs

3โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 PAC-12
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

Fresno State opens Pac-12 play in Pullman with a run-defense problem to solve

Rice ran for 344 yards on Fresno State and still lost 38-24. Now the Bulldogs' takeaway machine goes to Washington State in a coin-flip conference opener.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
Fresno State players prepare to face New Mexico in 2024.
Fresno State faces New Mexico in 2024.
CreditPhoto creditKenneth C. ZirkelWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Fresno State at Washington State
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Final
Fresno State
Final ยท Fresno State 26โ€“6 Washington StateWish granted โœ“
Washington State

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Fresno State wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Utah State
at
Boise State
Final ยท Utah State 18โ€“37 Boise StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

Boise State won instead, so Fresno State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection55% if Utah State won51% with the other result3.5-point differenceFresno State Pac-12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Marshall
at
James Madison
Final ยท Marshall 17โ€“45 James MadisonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so Fresno State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection6% if Marshall won4% with the other result1.7-point differenceFresno State playoff chance
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Impact 3
Texas State
at
Rooted for
San Diego State
Final ยท Texas State 29โ€“31 San Diego StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.5-point title-game boost

Texas State lost, improving Fresno State's place in the Pac-12 standings.

Entering-week projection53% if San Diego State won50% with the other result2.5-point differenceFresno State Pac-12 title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
UTEP at New Mexico ยท MW+
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa ยท ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Liberty at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern ยท FOX
Memphis at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas ยท ESPNU
UCF at Houston ยท ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State ยท TNT
Boston College at SMU ยท The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn ยท CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota ยท FOX
Navy at Air Force ยท CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Florida at Missouri ยท ABC
Auburn at Tennessee ยท ESPN
California at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Louisville at NC State ยท ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State ยท ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa ยท CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State ยท The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Maryland at Nebraska ยท FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois ยท BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State ยท USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M ยท ESPN2
BYU at TCU ยท ESPN
UTSA at Rice ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado ยท FOX
Miami at Clemson ยท ABC
Washington at USC ยท NBC
Temple at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers ยท BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona State ยท ESPN
Cincinnati at Arizona ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Hawai'i ยท MW+
The rooting list was:Fresno State, then Utah State, Marshall, San Diego State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.