Indiana Hoosiers
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 4 · 2026
74%
Big Ten title game
55%
Win the Big Ten
98%
Make the playoff
82%
First-round bye
avg seed 2.6
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-4 job: beat Northwestern.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Indiana's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Northwestern at Indiana
Your game. Beat Northwestern and your playoff odds are 98%; lose and they drop to 94%.
Indiana 96%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Oregon at USC
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings; USC visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Oregon 56%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Iowa at Michigan
Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings; Michigan visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Iowa 52%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Central Michigan at Miami
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Central Michigan winning protects it.
Miami 98%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Wisconsin at Penn State
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Penn State 89%
52 more games that don't move your needle
Oklahoma at Georgia
Liberty at Coastal Carolina
Clemson at California
Navy at UAB
South Carolina at Alabama
Tulsa at Arkansas
Vanderbilt at Auburn
Ole Miss at Florida
Texas A&M at LSU
Missouri at Mississippi State
Texas at Tennessee
Arizona at Washington State
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Houston at Georgia Southern
Colorado at Baylor
Kansas State at Cincinnati
TCU at UCF
Utah at Iowa State
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Delaware at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Stanford
Missouri State at SMU
Virginia Tech at Boston College
Wake Forest at Louisville
UCLA at Maryland
Nebraska at Michigan State
Illinois at Ohio State
Notre Dame at Purdue
Minnesota at Washington
Rice at Fresno State
San Diego State at Toledo
Troy at Utah State
Oregon State at UTEP
Colorado State at UTSA
Boise State at Western Michigan
UConn at Miami (OH)
Army at Temple
Louisiana at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Tulane
South Florida at Bowling Green
Air Force at Nevada
Hawai'i at Wyoming
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
UNLV at Akron
App State at NC State
South Alabama at Kentucky
New Mexico at New Mexico State
Ball State at Kent State
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State
James Madison at Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.