Indiana Hoosiers
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 12 · 2026
74%
Big Ten title game
55%
Win the Big Ten
98%
Make the playoff
82%
First-round bye
avg seed 2.6
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-12 job: beat Washington.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Indiana's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Indiana at Washington
Your game. Beat Washington and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 94%.
Indiana 77%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI NOV 20
Oregon at Michigan State
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.
Oregon 87%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Rutgers at Penn State
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Penn State 90%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Ohio State at Nebraska
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Ohio State 83%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Iowa at Illinois
Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.
Iowa 68%
…
…
SMU at Notre Dame
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and SMU winning protects it.
Notre Dame 92%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Wisconsin at Purdue
Big Ten race: Wisconsin losing helps your spot in the standings; Purdue visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Wisconsin 62%
58 more games that don't move your needle
Texas Tech at Baylor
Georgia at South Carolina
Ball State at Ohio
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Kent State
Akron at Massachusetts
Bowling Green at Toledo
Central Michigan at Buffalo
Rice at Temple
Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech
Clemson at Duke
Vanderbilt at Florida
Kentucky at Missouri
Texas A&M at Oklahoma
LSU at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas
Arizona at Kansas State
BYU at Kansas
Colorado at Cincinnati
Houston at West Virginia
Iowa State at UCF
Oklahoma State at Arizona State
Utah at TCU
Virginia Tech at Miami
NC State at Florida State
North Carolina at Virginia
Pittsburgh at Louisville
Stanford at California
Syracuse at Boston College
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech
UCLA at Michigan
Northwestern at Minnesota
Maryland at USC
Colorado State at Fresno State
Utah State at Oregon State
Washington State at Texas State
San Diego State at Boise State
Old Dominion at UConn
East Carolina at Army
Charlotte at Tulsa
South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Memphis at Navy
North Texas at Tulane
UTSA at UAB
Hawai'i at Nevada
New Mexico at Wyoming
UNLV at San José State
UTEP at Air Force
UL Monroe at App State
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Troy
Georgia State at Marshall
Delaware at New Mexico State
Florida International at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Liberty
Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston
South Alabama at Southern Miss
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.