Georgia Bulldogs

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 4 · 2026

53%

SEC title game

35%

Win the SEC

97%

Make the playoff

27%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.8

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-4 job: beat Oklahoma.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4

If Georgia wins out: 71% to win the SEC, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Georgia's path

Your game

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Oklahoma at Georgia

Your game. Beat Oklahoma and your playoff odds are 98%; lose and they drop to 92%.

Georgia 81%

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Sam Houston winning protects it.

Texas Tech 100%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Ole Miss at Florida

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Ole Miss 79%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Oregon at USC

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and USC winning protects it.

Oregon 63%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Illinois at Ohio State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Illinois winning protects it.

Ohio State 96%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Vanderbilt at Auburn

SEC race: Vanderbilt losing helps your spot in the standings; Auburn visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

Vanderbilt 65%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

South Carolina at Alabama

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; South Carolina visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Alabama 80%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Texas at Tennessee

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas 52%

49 more games that don't move your needle

Texas A&M at LSU

App State at NC State

Utah at Iowa State

Liberty at Coastal Carolina

Clemson at California

Navy at UAB

Tulsa at Arkansas

Missouri at Mississippi State

Arizona at Washington State

Houston at Georgia Southern

Colorado at Baylor

Kansas State at Cincinnati

TCU at UCF

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

Central Michigan at Miami

Delaware at Virginia

Georgia Tech at Stanford

Missouri State at SMU

Virginia Tech at Boston College

Wake Forest at Louisville

Northwestern at Indiana

UCLA at Maryland

Iowa at Michigan

Nebraska at Michigan State

Wisconsin at Penn State

Notre Dame at Purdue

Minnesota at Washington

Rice at Fresno State

San Diego State at Toledo

Troy at Utah State

Oregon State at UTEP

Colorado State at UTSA

Boise State at Western Michigan

UConn at Miami (OH)

Army at Temple

Louisiana at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

Southern Miss at Tulane

South Florida at Bowling Green

Air Force at Nevada

Hawai'i at Wyoming

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

UNLV at Akron

South Alabama at Kentucky

New Mexico at New Mexico State

Ball State at Kent State

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

James Madison at Old Dominion

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.