Georgia Bulldogs

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 12 · 2026

46%

SEC title game

29%

Win the SEC

73%

Make the playoff

33%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.3

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-12 job: beat South Carolina.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

If Georgia wins out: 67% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Georgia's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Georgia at South Carolina

Your game. Beat South Carolina and your playoff odds are 82%; lose and they drop to 52%.

Georgia 69%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Arkansas at Texas

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas 85%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Vanderbilt at Florida

SEC race: Vanderbilt losing helps your spot in the standings.

Vanderbilt 64%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Maryland at USC

Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 90%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Texas A&M at Oklahoma

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oklahoma 56%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Wake Forest at Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Georgia Tech 66%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Texas Tech at Baylor

Baylor winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 81%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Ohio State at Nebraska

Nebraska winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ohio State 83%

…

SMU at Notre Dame

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and SMU winning protects it.

Notre Dame 92%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Iowa at Illinois

Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 68%

TBD

THU NOV 19

Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Louisiana Tech 70%

54 more games that don't move your needle

Indiana at Washington

Houston at West Virginia

Ball State at Ohio

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Kent State

Akron at Massachusetts

Bowling Green at Toledo

Central Michigan at Buffalo

Rice at Temple

Clemson at Duke

Oregon at Michigan State

Kentucky at Missouri

LSU at Tennessee

Arizona at Kansas State

BYU at Kansas

Colorado at Cincinnati

Iowa State at UCF

Oklahoma State at Arizona State

Utah at TCU

Virginia Tech at Miami

NC State at Florida State

North Carolina at Virginia

Pittsburgh at Louisville

Stanford at California

Syracuse at Boston College

UCLA at Michigan

Northwestern at Minnesota

Rutgers at Penn State

Wisconsin at Purdue

Colorado State at Fresno State

Utah State at Oregon State

Washington State at Texas State

San Diego State at Boise State

Old Dominion at UConn

East Carolina at Army

Charlotte at Tulsa

South Florida at Florida Atlantic

Memphis at Navy

North Texas at Tulane

UTSA at UAB

Hawai'i at Nevada

New Mexico at Wyoming

UNLV at San José State

UTEP at Air Force

UL Monroe at App State

Coastal Carolina at Louisiana

Georgia Southern at Troy

Georgia State at Marshall

Delaware at New Mexico State

Florida International at Kennesaw State

Missouri State at Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky at Liberty

Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston

South Alabama at Southern Miss

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.