Georgia Bulldogs

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 3 · 2026

46%

SEC title game

29%

Win the SEC

73%

Make the playoff

33%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.3

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-3 job: beat Arkansas.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3

If Georgia wins out: 67% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Georgia's path

Your game

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Georgia at Arkansas

Your game. Beat Arkansas and your playoff odds are 76%; lose and they drop to 61%.

Georgia 78%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

…

Michigan State at Notre Dame

Seeding watch: Michigan State winning moves you from around the 5th seed toward the 5th — a friendlier bracket.

Notre Dame 98%

54 more games that don't move your needle

Florida State at Alabama

Syracuse at Pittsburgh

Miami at Wake Forest

Florida at Auburn

Troy at Missouri

New Mexico at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at South Carolina

Kennesaw State at Tennessee

UTSA at Texas

Kentucky at Texas A&M

NC State at Vanderbilt

Tulane at Kansas State

Northern Illinois at Arizona

BYU at Colorado State

Colorado at Northwestern

Miami (OH) at Cincinnati

Bowling Green at Iowa State

Arkansas State at TCU

Georgia State at UCF

Utah State at Utah

Virginia at West Virginia

Houston at Texas Tech

Kansas at Arizona State

North Carolina at Clemson

SMU at Louisville

Stanford at Duke

Virginia Tech at Maryland

Western Kentucky at Indiana

UTEP at Michigan

Akron at Minnesota

Kent State at Ohio State

Buffalo at Penn State

USC at Rutgers

Purdue at UCLA

Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin

James Madison at San Diego State

Fresno State at San José State

North Texas at Texas State

UConn at Southern Miss

East Carolina at Old Dominion

Florida International at Florida Atlantic

Western Michigan at Rice

Temple at Toledo

UAB at Louisiana

Nevada at Middle Tennessee

Wyoming at Central Michigan

Charlotte at App State

Ball State at Liberty

Ohio at South Alabama

Louisiana Tech at Baylor

Coastal Carolina at Delaware

Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State

Marshall at Missouri State

LSU at Ole Miss · ABC

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.