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Notre Dame Fighting Irish

00 · 00 FBS INDEPENDENTS
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
99%
Make the playoff
84%
First-round bye
avg seed 2.8
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Syracuse.
Playoff odds by week

If Notre Dame wins out: 0% to win the Independent, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Notre Dame's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Notre Dame at Syracuse

Your game. Beat Syracuse and your playoff odds are 99%; lose and they drop to 89%.

Notre Dame 98%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Purdue at Indiana

Seeding watch: Purdue winning moves you from around the 3rd seed toward the 3rd — a friendlier bracket.

Indiana 99%
61 more games that don't move your needle
Michigan at Ohio State
Georgia Tech at Georgia
TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN
Mississippi State at Ole Miss · ABC
Washington at Oregon
Arizona State at Arizona
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
Nebraska at Iowa
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Temple at Memphis
Tulane at South Florida
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
Auburn at Alabama
LSU at Arkansas
Louisville at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
West Virginia at Utah
Boston College at Miami
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Pittsburgh at California
SMU at Stanford
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Northwestern at Illinois
Penn State at Maryland
Michigan State at Rutgers
USC at UCLA
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.