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#9Texas A&M Aggies

30 · 00 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
3%
SEC title game
<1%
Win the SEC
33%
Make the playoff
5%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.2
How the week went: playoff odds 33%42% · title-game odds 3%5%.
Playoff odds by week

If Texas A&M wins out: 26% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas A&M's path
Your game
· ESPN
Auburn at #9 Texas A&M

Your game. Beat Auburn and your playoff odds are 38%; lose and they drop to 21%.

Final · Auburn 1016 Texas A&MWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· ABC
#22 Notre Dame at Arkansas

You already beat Notre Dame; them losing again keeps them behind you; Arkansas visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.

Final · Notre Dame 5613 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+3.9 pp playoff odds
· ESPNU
Tulane at Tulsa

Tulsa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Tulane 3114 TulsaWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulsa+2.4 pp playoff odds
#15 Tennessee at Mississippi State

Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.

Final · Tennessee 4134 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.1 pp playoff odds
· ABC
#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss

LSU visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · LSU 1924 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+1.7 pp playoff odds
· Peacock
#11 Indiana at Iowa

Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Indiana 2015 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+1.5 pp playoff odds
· FOX
#24 TCU at Arizona State

TCU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · TCU 2427 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗
Root for TCU+1.4 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.