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#3Texas A&M Aggies

8–0 · 5–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
27%
SEC title game
10%
Win the SEC
88%
Make the playoff
40%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.2
How the week went: playoff odds 88% → 96% · title-game odds 27% → 21%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Texas A&M wins out: 37% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas A&M's path
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#5 Georgia at Florida

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Florida — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+21.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #7 Ole Miss

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; South Carolina visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+6.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBS
#2 Indiana at Maryland

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Maryland winning protects it.

Final · Indiana 55–10 MarylandWent the other way ✗
Root for Maryland+5.4 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
#9 Vanderbilt at #20 Texas

Texas visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWish granted ✓
Root for Texas+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · BTN
Purdue at #21 Michigan

Purdue winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Purdue 16–21 MichiganWent the other way ✗
Root for Purdue+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Kentucky at Auburn

SEC race: Kentucky losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Auburn — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Kentucky 10–3 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+3.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
Penn State at #1 Ohio State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Penn State winning protects it.

Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+2.4 pp first-round-bye odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Miami at SMU · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.