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#3Texas A&M Aggies

9–0 · 6–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
36%
SEC title game
14%
Win the SEC
96%
Make the playoff
59%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.2
How the week went: playoff odds 96% → 99% · title-game odds 36% → 44%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Texas A&M wins out: 40% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas A&M's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #3 Texas A&M

Your game. Beat South Carolina and your playoff odds are 98%; lose and they drop to 82%.

Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #7 Ole Miss

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Florida — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+9.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · BTN
Wisconsin at #2 Indiana

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Wisconsin winning protects it.

Final · Wisconsin 7–31 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+5.7 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
#10 Texas at #5 Georgia

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Texas winning protects it; Texas visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Texas 10–35 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Texas+5.3 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FOX
UCF at #6 Texas Tech

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and UCF winning protects it.

Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+4.7 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
#11 Oklahoma at #4 Alabama

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Root for Oklahoma+2.1 pp title-game odds
52 more games that don't move your needle
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Minnesota at Oregon · FOX
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.