#1Ohio State Buckeyes
3–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
40%
Big Ten title game
18%
Win the Big Ten
97%
Make the playoff
75%
First-round bye
avg seed 3.3
How the week went: playoff odds 97% → 96% · title-game odds 40% → 39%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ohio State's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · BTN
Oregon State at #6 Oregon
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Oregon State 7–41 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Oregon State+4.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · NBC
#9 Illinois at #19 Indiana
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Illinois visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Final · Illinois 10–63 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Illinois+3.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
Iowa at Rutgers
Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings; Rutgers visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Iowa 38–28 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+2.4 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.