#1Ohio State Buckeyes
8–0 · 5–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
87%
Big Ten title game
44%
Win the Big Ten
100%
Make the playoff
100%
First-round bye
avg seed 1.6
How the week went: playoff odds 100% → 100% · title-game odds 87% → 81%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ohio State's pathYour game
…
… · BTN
#1 Ohio State at Purdue
Your game. You're essentially in — this is about seeding: win and you're looking at roughly the 2nd seed, lose and it's closer to the 2nd.
Final · Ohio State 34–10 PurdueWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · FOX
#2 Indiana at Penn State
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Penn State — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Indiana in week 15.
Final · Indiana 27–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+13.4 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBS
#9 Oregon at #20 Iowa
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Oregon 18–16 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+2.0 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11).