Toledo Rockets
7–4 · 5–2 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
16%
MAC title game
13%
Win the MAC
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → 0% · title-game odds 16% → 0%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Toledo's pathYour game
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… · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan
Your game. Win and your Mid-American title-game odds are 19%; lose and they fall to 0%.
Final · Toledo 21–3 Central MichiganWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
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… · CBSSN
Ball State at Miami (OH)
Mid-American race: Miami (OH) losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Ball State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Ball State 24–45 Miami (OH)Went the other way ✗
Root for Ball State+72.0 pp title-game odds
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… · ESPNU
Ohio at Buffalo
Mid-American race: Ohio losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Ohio 31–26 BuffaloWent the other way ✗
Root for Buffalo+53.4 pp title-game odds
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… · ESPN2
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Mid-American race: Eastern Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Western Michigan 31–21 Eastern MichiganWish granted ✓
Root for Western Michigan+16.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBSSN
Kent State at Northern Illinois
Mid-American race: Northern Illinois losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Kent State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Kent State 35–31 Northern IllinoisWish granted ✓
Root for Kent State+5.7 pp title-game odds
62 more games that don't move your needle
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State · ABC
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Utah at Kansas · ESPN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan · FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
UCF at BYU · ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN
Oregon at Washington · CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn · ABC
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
SMU at California · ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14).