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#7BYU Cougars

8–0 · 5–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
58%
Big 12 title game
18%
Win the Big 12
60%
Make the playoff
1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.3
How the week went: playoff odds 60% → 12% · title-game odds 58% → 48%.
Playoff odds by week
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If BYU wins out: 38% to win the Big 12, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves BYU's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#7 BYU at #8 Texas Tech

Your game. Beat Texas Tech and your playoff odds are 87%; lose and they drop to 54%.

Final · BYU 7–29 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
Iowa State at TCU

Big 12 race: TCU losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Iowa State — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play TCU in week 12.

Final · Iowa State 20–17 TCUWish granted ✓
Root for Iowa State+6.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBS
#9 Oregon at #20 Iowa

Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Oregon 18–16 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+3.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · FS1
Houston at UCF

Big 12 race: Houston losing helps your spot in the standings; UCF visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Houston 30–27 UCFWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+2.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Kansas at Arizona

Big 12 race: Kansas losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Arizona — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Kansas 20–24 ArizonaWish granted ✓
Root for Arizona+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPNU
Kent State at Ball State

Ball State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Kent State 13–17 Ball StateWish granted ✓
Root for Ball State+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #22 Missouri

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas A&M 38–17 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+1.3 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11).