East Carolina Pirates
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
20%
American title game
9%
Win the American
3%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Memphis.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves East Carolina's pathYour game
TBD
THU OCT 22
East Carolina at Memphis
Your game. Beat Memphis and your playoff odds are 6%; lose and they drop to 1%.
Memphis 56%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
FRI OCT 23
Army at Tulsa
American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Army in week 12.
Army 78%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
UTSA at Tulane
American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings.
Tulane 54%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
North Texas at Navy
American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.
North Texas 51%
50 more games that don't move your needle
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
James Madison at App State
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.