East Carolina Pirates
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
20%
American title game
9%
Win the American
3%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.5
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat South Florida.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves East Carolina's pathYour game
TBD
FRI NOV 6
South Florida at East Carolina
Your game. Beat South Florida and your playoff odds are 6%; lose and they drop to <1%.
South Florida 55%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Rice at North Texas
American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.
North Texas 94%
TBD
THU NOV 5
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
American Athletic race: UTSA losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida Atlantic visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
UTSA 78%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Temple at Navy
American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings.
Navy 85%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Tulsa at Tulane
American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings.
Tulane 89%
56 more games that don't move your needle
Air Force at Army
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
James Madison at Southern Miss
TCU at Arizona
Virginia Tech at SMU
Arkansas at Auburn
Oklahoma at Florida
Alabama at LSU
Georgia at Ole Miss
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Texas at Missouri
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
BYU at Utah
UCF at Kansas
Cincinnati at Houston
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Iowa at Northwestern
Oregon at Ohio State
Maryland at Purdue
Penn State at Washington
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Hawai'i at UTEP
New Mexico at Nevada
Northern Illinois at San José State
Wyoming at UNLV
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Marshall at Georgia Southern
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Miami at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.