East Carolina Pirates
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
20%
American title game
9%
Win the American
3%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.5
Odds shown as of week 1 — precise rooting leverage exists only once the games in between are played.
If East Carolina wins out: 39% to win the American, 36% to make the playoff.
Championship week
matchups are decided by the standingsAmerican Athletic Championship GameFri/Sat, Dec 4–5 · Campus site, higher seed hosts
South FloridavsNorth Texas13%
South FloridavsUTSA9%
South FloridavsNavy7%
North TexasvsUTSA6%
North TexasvsArmy5%
Win it and you're in: the five highest-ranked conference champions get automatic playoff bids. East Carolina plays in this game in 20% of the way-too-early sims.
The matchup gets scheduled once the regular season decides it — this page becomes the real game preview automatically. Week 14 kickoff windows and TV land with it.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.