๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Miami (OH) RedHawks

2โ€“2 ยท 0โ€“0 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

Miami opens MAC play with its best offense and its healthiest quarterback in question

David McComb threw for 312 yards against UConn and then limped off. What Miami fans should watch against Bowling Green, plus two MAC results worth tracking.

Read the rooting guide โ†’

The model sees Miami (OH) as an extreme playoff long shot.

Miami University football players enter a crowded stadium in 2003.
Miami University football in 2003.
CreditPhoto creditZvesoulisWikimedia Commons ยท Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Bowling Green at Miami (OH)
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Final
Bowling Green
Final ยท Bowling Green 24โ€“20 Miami (OH)Went the other way โœ—
Miami (OH)

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami (OH) wanted
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Impact 1
Western Michigan
at
Rooted for
Buffalo
Final ยท Western Michigan 20โ€“17 BuffaloWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

Western Michigan won instead, so Miami (OH) did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if Buffalo won11% with the other result3.8-point differenceMiami (OH) MAC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Toledo
at
Rooted for
Ball State
Final ยท Toledo 39โ€“24 Ball StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.4-point title-game boost

Toledo won instead, so Miami (OH) did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if Ball State won12% with the other result3.4-point differenceMiami (OH) MAC title-game chance
53 other games had little impact
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa ยท ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Liberty at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern ยท FOX
Memphis at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas ยท ESPNU
UCF at Houston ยท ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State ยท TNT
Boston College at SMU ยท The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn ยท CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota ยท FOX
Navy at Air Force ยท CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Florida at Missouri ยท ABC
Auburn at Tennessee ยท ESPN
California at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Louisville at NC State ยท ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State ยท ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa ยท CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State ยท The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska ยท FS1
UTEP at New Mexico ยท MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois ยท BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State ยท USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M ยท ESPN2
BYU at TCU ยท ESPN
UTSA at Rice ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado ยท FOX
Miami at Clemson ยท ABC
Washington at USC ยท NBC
Utah State at Boise State ยท CBSSN
Temple at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers ยท BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State ยท USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State ยท ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Hawai'i ยท MW+
The rooting list was:Miami (OH), then Buffalo, Ball State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.