Notre Dame Fighting Irish

0–0 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS

Way too early

WEEK 15 · 2026

Independent title game

Win the Independent

99%

Make the playoff

84%

First-round bye

avg seed 2.8

The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15

If Notre Dame wins out: 0% to win the Independent, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Notre Dame's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Notre Dame's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Navy at Army

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.