Air Force Falcons
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 10 · 2026
21%
MW title game
9%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-10 job: beat Army.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Air Force's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Air Force at Army
Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 26%; lose and they fall to 19%.
Army 79%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Hawai'i at UTEP
Mountain West race: Hawai'i losing helps your spot in the standings; UTEP visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Hawai'i 66%
TBD
SAT NOV 7
Wyoming at UNLV
Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings.
UNLV 83%
58 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico at Nevada
Ohio at Akron
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Ball State at Massachusetts
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
James Madison at Southern Miss
TCU at Arizona
Virginia Tech at SMU
South Florida at East Carolina
Arkansas at Auburn
Oklahoma at Florida
Alabama at LSU
Georgia at Ole Miss
Vanderbilt at Mississippi State
Texas at Missouri
Texas A&M at South Carolina
Kentucky at Tennessee
BYU at Utah
UCF at Kansas
Cincinnati at Houston
Colorado at Arizona State
Iowa State at Baylor
Oklahoma State at Kansas State
West Virginia at Texas Tech
Clemson at Syracuse
Duke at NC State
Louisville at Georgia Tech
Florida State at Boston College
North Carolina at UConn
Nebraska at Illinois
Michigan State at Michigan
UCLA at Minnesota
Iowa at Northwestern
Oregon at Ohio State
Maryland at Purdue
Penn State at Washington
Rutgers at Wisconsin
Boise State at Colorado State
Texas State at Oregon State
Fresno State at Utah State
Charlotte at UAB
Temple at Navy
Rice at North Texas
Tulsa at Tulane
Northern Illinois at San José State
Georgia State at App State
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina
Marshall at Georgia Southern
South Alabama at Louisiana
Liberty at New Mexico State
Delaware at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Florida International
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Miami at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.