๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Virginia Cavaliers

1โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2026
The Week 1 recap

Root for two ACC upsets and study what Virginia can sustain

Virginia is idle, but losses by Miami and SMU would help while the Cavaliers sort durable strengths from one costly quarterback workload.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
The UVA Cavaliers vs the W&M Tribe on the 2019/09/06
The UVA Cavaliers vs the W&M Tribe on the 2019/09/06
CreditPhoto creditcarlinmackWikimedia Commons ยท CC0 1.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Virginia wanted
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Impact 1
Miami
at
Rooted for
Stanford
Final ยท Miami 45โ€“6 StanfordWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.9-point title-game boost

Miami won instead, so Virginia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Stanford won17% with the other result4.9-point differenceVirginia ACC title-game chance
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โ€ฆ
Impact 2
SMU
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท SMU 27โ€“24 Florida StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.9-point title-game boost

SMU won instead, so Virginia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Florida State won16% with the other result3.9-point differenceVirginia ACC title-game chance
41 other games had little impact
Louisville at Ole Miss ยท ABC
Massachusetts at Rutgers ยท BTN
Akron at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Colorado at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
UAB at Illinois ยท BTN
San Josรฉ State at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
UTEP at Oklahoma ยท SECN+
Toledo at Michigan State ยท FS1
Fresno State at USC ยท FOX
East Carolina at Alabama ยท ABC
Oregon State at Houston ยท ESPN
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia ยท TNT
North Texas at Indiana ยท FOX
Ohio at Nebraska ยท FS1
Liberty at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh ยท The CW Network
Ball State at Ohio State ยท BTN
Kent State at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Baylor at Auburn ยท ABC
Texas State at Texas ยท ESPN
Boston College at Cincinnati ยท FOX
Tulane at Duke ยท ACC Network
Boise State at Oregon ยท CBS
Marshall at Penn State ยท FS1
Oklahoma State at Tulsa ยท ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Iowa ยท BTN
Wyoming at Colorado State ยท USA Network
Missouri State at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Arkansas State at Memphis ยท ESPN+
Florida International at South Florida ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Troy ยท ESPN+
Clemson at LSU ยท ABC
UL Monroe at Mississippi State ยท ESPNU
Western Michigan at Michigan ยท NBC
Florida Atlantic at Florida ยท SEC Network
UNLV at Hawai'i ยท The CW Network
Central Michigan at New Mexico ยท FS1
UCLA at California ยท ESPN
Western Kentucky at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Washington State at Washington ยท NBC
Wisconsin at Notre Dame ยท NBC
The rooting list was:Virginia is off, then Stanford, Florida State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (preseason). How the model works.