Virginia Cavaliers
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
10%
ACC title game
3%
Win the ACC
3%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-8 job: beat Duke.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Virginia's pathYour game
TBD
FRI OCT 23
Duke at Virginia
Your game. Beat Duke and your playoff odds are 5%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Virginia 62%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 24
California at SMU
ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings; California visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
SMU 90%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Virginia Tech at Clemson
ACC race: Clemson losing helps your spot in the standings; Virginia Tech visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Clemson 85%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Pittsburgh at Miami
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
James Madison at App State
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Syracuse at North Carolina
Oregon at Illinois
Indiana at Michigan
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
USC at Wisconsin
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
North Texas at Navy
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.