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#5Georgia Bulldogs

8–1 · 6–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
52%
SEC title game
30%
Win the SEC
82%
Make the playoff
35%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.4
How the week went: playoff odds 82% → 95% · title-game odds 52% → 70%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Georgia wins out: 41% to win the SEC, 94% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Georgia's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#10 Texas at #5 Georgia

Your game. Beat Texas and your playoff odds are 92%; lose and they drop to 58%.

Final · Texas 10–35 GeorgiaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #3 Texas A&M

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+22.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#11 Oklahoma at #4 Alabama

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; Alabama losing softens the sting of your loss to them; you still play Alabama in week 15.

Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Root for Oklahoma+8.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#9 Notre Dame at #22 Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Notre Dame 37–15 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Root for Pittsburgh+3.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #7 Ole Miss

You beat Florida — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+3.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
NC State at #15 Miami

NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · NC State 7–41 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for NC State+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Minnesota at #8 Oregon

Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Minnesota 13–42 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Minnesota+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
UCF at #6 Texas Tech

UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#13 Utah at Baylor

Baylor winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Utah 55–28 BaylorWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri

SEC race: Missouri losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Mississippi State — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Mississippi State 27–49 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
TCU at #12 BYU

TCU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · TCU 13–44 BYUWent the other way ✗
Root for TCU+1.3 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.