#5Georgia Bulldogs
7–1 · 5–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
59%
SEC title game
34%
Win the SEC
85%
Make the playoff
37%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.3
How the week went: playoff odds 85% → 82% · title-game odds 59% → 52%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Georgia's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
#5 Georgia at Mississippi State
Your game. Beat Mississippi State and your playoff odds are 87%; lose and they drop to 60%.
Final · Georgia 41–21 Mississippi StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #22 Missouri
SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Texas A&M 38–17 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+15.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
Navy at #10 Notre Dame
Navy winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Navy 10–49 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for Navy+4.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
LSU at #4 Alabama
SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; Alabama losing softens the sting of your loss to them; you still play Alabama in week 15.
Final · LSU 9–20 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+3.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
Northwestern at #19 USC
Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Northwestern 17–38 USCWent the other way ✗
Root for Northwestern+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#2 Indiana at Penn State
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Penn State winning protects it.
Final · Indiana 27–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+2.3 pp first-round-bye odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.