🏈 Fan Watch

New Mexico Lobos

4–1 · 1–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
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WEEK 7 · 2026
The Week 7 job

Beat Hawai'i and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

Your game

New Mexico at Hawai'i
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MW title-game chanceNow72%Win77%Loss53%
New Mexico
New Mexico 78%Hawai'i 22%
Hawai'i

Other impactful games

the highlighted team is the result New Mexico wants
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Priority 1
Root for
Georgia State
at
James Madison
Root for Georgia State3.5-point playoff boost

Georgia State winning would remove some at-large competition for New Mexico.

19% if Georgia State wins15% with the other result3.5-point differenceNew Mexico playoff chance
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Priority 2
San José State
at
Root for
UTEP
Root for UTEP4.4-point title-game boost

San José State losing would help New Mexico in the Mountain West standings; New Mexico beat UTEP, so another UTEP win would strengthen New Mexico's résumé; New Mexico still plays San José State in week 9.

76% if UTEP wins71% with the other result4.4-point differenceNew Mexico MW title-game chance
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Priority 3
Root for
Nevada
at
North Dakota State
Root for Nevada3.0-point title-game boost

North Dakota State losing would help New Mexico in the Mountain West standings; New Mexico plays Nevada in week 10, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

74% if Nevada wins71% with the other result3-point differenceNew Mexico MW title-game chance
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Priority 4
UNLV
at
Root for
Air Force
Root for Air Force2.5-point title-game boost

UNLV losing would help New Mexico in the Mountain West standings; New Mexico plays Air Force in week 13, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

73% if Air Force wins70% with the other result2.5-point differenceNew Mexico MW title-game chance
54 more games that don't move your needle
Delaware at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN
Florida International at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Kennesaw State at Missouri State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston · ESPN2
East Carolina at UAB · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion · ESPN2
Colorado State at Texas State · CBSSN
Memphis at Tulane · ESPN
Washington at Purdue · FOX
App State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Utah at Colorado
Wake Forest at California
Penn State at Michigan
Nebraska at Oregon
Wisconsin at UCLA
Mississippi State at LSU
Florida at Texas
Cincinnati at West Virginia · TNT
Kansas at Kansas State · FS1
Pittsburgh at Boston College · ESPN2
Virginia at SMU · The CW Network
Ohio State at Indiana · FOX
Northwestern at Michigan State · Peacock
Florida Atlantic at Army · CBSSN
Ball State at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Rutgers at Maryland · BTN
Charlotte at Temple · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Buffalo · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Auburn at Georgia
Missouri at Ole Miss
Alabama at Tennessee
Arizona State at Texas Tech · FOX
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
North Carolina at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Wyoming · The CW Network
Toledo at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Akron at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Tulsa at Rice · ESPN+
Troy at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Oregon State · USA Network
Arkansas at Vanderbilt · ESPN2
TCU at Baylor · FS1
Florida State at Miami · ESPN
Kent State at South Florida · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Kentucky at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Notre Dame at BYU · ABC
Oklahoma State at Houston · FOX
Louisville at Syracuse · ACC Network
Navy at UTSA · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ohio at Sacramento State · ESPN+
Fresno State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Your rooting list:New Mexico, then Georgia State, UTEP, Nevada, Air Force.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.