New Mexico Lobos
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 12 · 2026
43%
MW title game
20%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-12 job: beat Wyoming.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves New Mexico's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 21
New Mexico at Wyoming
Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 56%; lose and they fall to 22%.
New Mexico 63%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 21
UNLV at San José State
Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings.
UNLV 87%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
Hawai'i at Nevada
Mountain West race: Hawai'i losing helps your spot in the standings.
Hawai'i 61%
TBD
SAT NOV 21
UTEP at Air Force
Mountain West race: Air Force losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Air Force in week 13.
Air Force 82%
61 more games that don't move your needle
Ball State at Ohio
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Kent State
Akron at Massachusetts
Bowling Green at Toledo
Central Michigan at Buffalo
Rice at Temple
Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech
Clemson at Duke
Oregon at Michigan State
Vanderbilt at Florida
Kentucky at Missouri
Texas A&M at Oklahoma
Georgia at South Carolina
LSU at Tennessee
Arkansas at Texas
Arizona at Kansas State
BYU at Kansas
Colorado at Cincinnati
Houston at West Virginia
Iowa State at UCF
Oklahoma State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Baylor
Utah at TCU
Virginia Tech at Miami
NC State at Florida State
North Carolina at Virginia
Pittsburgh at Louisville
Stanford at California
Syracuse at Boston College
Wake Forest at Georgia Tech
Iowa at Illinois
UCLA at Michigan
Northwestern at Minnesota
Ohio State at Nebraska
Rutgers at Penn State
Wisconsin at Purdue
Maryland at USC
Indiana at Washington
Colorado State at Fresno State
Utah State at Oregon State
Washington State at Texas State
San Diego State at Boise State
Old Dominion at UConn
East Carolina at Army
Charlotte at Tulsa
South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Memphis at Navy
North Texas at Tulane
UTSA at UAB
UL Monroe at App State
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana
Georgia Southern at Troy
Georgia State at Marshall
Delaware at New Mexico State
Florida International at Kennesaw State
Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky at Liberty
Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston
South Alabama at Southern Miss
SMU at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.