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Vanderbilt Commodores

00 · 00 SEC
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
19%
SEC title game
9%
Win the SEC
35%
Make the playoff
8%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.0
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-6 job: beat Ole Miss.
Playoff odds by week

If Vanderbilt wins out: 46% to win the SEC, 99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Vanderbilt's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Your game. Beat Ole Miss and your playoff odds are 46%; lose and they drop to 24%.

Ole Miss 50%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Georgia at Alabama

Alabama visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Georgia 56%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
South Carolina at Florida

Florida visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Florida 52%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Kansas at Utah

Kansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 89%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
UCF at Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

UCF 68%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Tennessee at Arkansas
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.