🏈 Fan Watch

North Dakota State Bison

5–0 · 2–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
This week
WEEK 6 · 2026
The Week 6 job

North Dakota State is a road favorite in Las Vegas, and that is the strangest thing about Week 6

The Bison shut out Wyoming 28-0 and now go to Allegiant Stadium favored over a UNLV team that has played in three straight Mountain West title games.

Read the rooting guide →
The Fargodome, home of North Dakota State football.
The Fargodome, home of North Dakota State football.
CreditPhoto creditBillybob2002Wikimedia Commons · CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

North Dakota State at UNLV
MW title-game chanceNow73%Win87%Loss54%
North Dakota State
North Dakota State 58%UNLV 42%
UNLV

Other impactful games

the highlighted team is the result North Dakota State wants
…
…
Priority 1
Root for
Wyoming
at
San José State
Root for Wyoming3.2-point title-game boost

San José State losing would help North Dakota State in the Mountain West standings; North Dakota State beat Wyoming, so another Wyoming win would strengthen North Dakota State's résumé; North Dakota State still plays San José State in week 13.

76% if Wyoming wins73% with the other result3.2-point differenceNorth Dakota State MW title-game chance
…
…
Priority 2
Air Force
at
Root for
Northern Illinois
Root for Northern Illinois2.8-point title-game boost

Air Force losing would help North Dakota State in the Mountain West standings; North Dakota State already beat Air Force, and another Air Force loss would keep them behind North Dakota State; North Dakota State plays Northern Illinois in week 12, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

75% if Northern Illinois wins73% with the other result2.8-point differenceNorth Dakota State MW title-game chance
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…
Priority 3
James Madison
at
Root for
Georgia Southern
Root for Georgia Southern1.3-point playoff boost

Georgia Southern winning would remove some at-large competition for North Dakota State.

7% if Georgia Southern wins6% with the other result1.3-point differenceNorth Dakota State playoff chance
54 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Troy · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Florida International · ESPN2
Sam Houston at Liberty · ESPNU
Missouri State at Western Kentucky · CBSSN
South Florida at UTSA · ESPN
South Alabama at Arkansas State · ESPN2
Florida State at Louisville · ESPN
Iowa at Washington
Washington State at Utah State · The CW Network
Iowa State at BYU · ESPN
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Arizona at West Virginia · truTV
UCF at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
North Carolina at Pittsburgh · ESPN
Wake Forest at NC State · The CW Network
Indiana at Nebraska · FOX
Tulane at Army · CBSSN
Sacramento State at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Ball State at Northwestern · BTN
South Carolina at Florida · SEC Network
Old Dominion at App State · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Texas at Oklahoma · ABC
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Houston at Kansas State · FOX
Duke at Georgia Tech · ESPN2
Stanford at Notre Dame · NBC
Virginia Tech at California · ACC Network
Illinois at Michigan State · FS1
UCLA at Oregon · CBS
Charlotte at North Texas · ESPN+
Tulsa at Navy · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Buffalo at Toledo · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Ohio · ESPN+
Kent State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
UConn at Temple · ESPNU
Rice at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tennessee at Arkansas · SEC Network
Maryland at Ohio State · BTN
San Diego State at Oregon State · USA Network
LSU at Kentucky · ESPN
UAB at Memphis · ESPN2
Nevada at UTEP · FS1
Coastal Carolina at Marshall · ESPN+
Georgia at Alabama · ABC
Syracuse at Virginia · ACC Network
USC at Penn State · NBC
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Minnesota at Purdue · BTN
Hawai'i at Arizona State · FS1
Kansas at Utah · ESPN
Boise State at Fresno State · The CW Network
Your rooting list:North Dakota State, then Wyoming, Northern Illinois, Georgia Southern.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.