๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Arkansas State Red Wolves

2โ€“3 ยท 0โ€“1 SUN BELT
This week
WEEK 6 ยท 2026
The Week 6 job

Arkansas State hosts South Alabama with an 0-2 Sun Belt start on the line

Solomon Baggett carried 12 times for 51 yards and ran in the touchdown at Louisiana, while Kenyon Clay sat out a second straight game with an ankle injury.

Read the rooting guide โ†’

The model sees Arkansas State as an extreme playoff long shot.

Arkansas State carries the ball against Michigan in 2024.
Arkansas State faces Michigan in 2024.
CreditPhoto creditMaize & Blue NationWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 2.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

South Alabama at Arkansas State
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Sun Belt title-game chanceNow4%Win7%Loss<1%
South Alabama
South Alabama 43%Arkansas State 57%
Arkansas State

Other impactful games

the highlighted team is the result Arkansas State wants
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Priority 1
Louisiana
at
Root for
Louisiana Tech
Root for Louisiana Tech3.0-point title-game boost

Louisiana losing would help Arkansas State in the Sun Belt standings; Louisiana losing would soften the effect of Arkansas State's loss to them; Arkansas State plays Louisiana Tech in week 12, so a win would make a future opponent look stronger.

6% if Louisiana Tech wins3% with the other result3-point differenceArkansas State Sun Belt title-game chance
56 more games that don't move your needle
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South Florida at UTSA ยท ESPN
Florida State at Louisville ยท ESPN
Iowa at Washington
Washington State at Utah State ยท The CW Network
Wyoming at San Josรฉ State ยท CBSSN
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Arizona at West Virginia ยท truTV
UCF at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
North Carolina at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN
Wake Forest at NC State ยท The CW Network
Indiana at Nebraska ยท FOX
Tulane at Army ยท CBSSN
Sacramento State at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northwestern ยท BTN
South Carolina at Florida ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at App State ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Texas at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Houston at Kansas State ยท FOX
Duke at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN2
Stanford at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Virginia Tech at California ยท ACC Network
Illinois at Michigan State ยท FS1
UCLA at Oregon ยท CBS
Charlotte at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Tulsa at Navy ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
UConn at Temple ยท ESPNU
Rice at East Carolina ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Maryland at Ohio State ยท BTN
San Diego State at Oregon State ยท USA Network
LSU at Kentucky ยท ESPN
UAB at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Nevada at UTEP ยท FS1
North Dakota State at UNLV ยท The CW Network
Coastal Carolina at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Alabama ยท ABC
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Air Force at Northern Illinois ยท CBSSN
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Minnesota at Purdue ยท BTN
Hawai'i at Arizona State ยท FS1
Kansas at Utah ยท ESPN
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Your rooting list:Arkansas State, then Louisiana Tech.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.