๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Massachusetts Minutemen

4โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

UMass is 4-0 and Eastern Michigan has won the last four meetings

Pop Watson's cleanest game yet carried UMass past Sacramento State. Now the 4-0 Minutemen host a team that has beaten them four straight times.

Read the rooting guide โ†’

The model sees Massachusetts as an extreme playoff long shot.

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, home of Massachusetts football.
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, home of Massachusetts football.
CreditPhoto creditQuintin SolovievWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts
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Final
Eastern Michigan
Final ยท Eastern Michigan 38โ€“14 MassachusettsWent the other way โœ—
Massachusetts

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Massachusetts wanted
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Impact 1
Western Michigan
at
Rooted for
Buffalo
Final ยท Western Michigan 20โ€“17 BuffaloWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.1-point title-game boost

Western Michigan won instead, so Massachusetts did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection9% if Buffalo won5% with the other result3.1-point differenceMassachusetts MAC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Toledo
at
Rooted for
Ball State
Final ยท Toledo 39โ€“24 Ball StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Toledo won instead, so Massachusetts did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection9% if Ball State won6% with the other result2.3-point differenceMassachusetts MAC title-game chance
53 other games had little impact
Akron at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa ยท ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Liberty at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern ยท FOX
Memphis at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas ยท ESPNU
UCF at Houston ยท ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State ยท TNT
Boston College at SMU ยท The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn ยท CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota ยท FOX
Navy at Air Force ยท CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Florida at Missouri ยท ABC
Auburn at Tennessee ยท ESPN
California at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Louisville at NC State ยท ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State ยท ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa ยท CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State ยท The CW Network
Ohio at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska ยท FS1
UTEP at New Mexico ยท MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois ยท BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State ยท USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M ยท ESPN2
BYU at TCU ยท ESPN
UTSA at Rice ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado ยท FOX
Miami at Clemson ยท ABC
Washington at USC ยท NBC
Utah State at Boise State ยท CBSSN
Temple at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers ยท BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State ยท USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State ยท ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
Cincinnati at Arizona ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Hawai'i ยท MW+
The rooting list was:Massachusetts, then Buffalo, Ball State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.