๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#10BYU Cougars

3โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

BYU's safety room goes to Fort Worth a starter short

Raider Damuni won't be back until mid-to-late October, Faletau Satuala's snaps are still managed, and BYU's No. 2 rushing attack has to cover at TCU.

Read the rooting guide โ†’
LaVell Edwards Stadium with the Wasatch Mountains behind it.
LaVell Edwards Stadium, home of BYU football.
CreditPhoto creditPastelitodepapaWikimedia Commons ยท CC BY 4.0Cropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

BYU at TCU
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Final
BYU
Final ยท BYU 17โ€“10 TCUWish granted โœ“
TCU

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result BYU wanted
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Impact 1
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Colorado
Final ยท Texas Tech 29โ€“7 ColoradoWent the other way โœ—
Projected 9.9-point title-game boost

Texas Tech won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection27% if Colorado won17% with the other result9.9-point differenceBYU Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Cincinnati
at
Arizona
Final ยท Cincinnati 7โ€“34 ArizonaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Arizona won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection23% if Cincinnati won22% with the other result1.6-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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Impact 3
West Virginia
at
Rooted for
Iowa State
Final ยท West Virginia 42โ€“45 Iowa StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Iowa State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 6 game against BYU.

Entering-week projection22% if Iowa State won21% with the other result1.5-point differenceBYU playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
UCF
at
Houston
Final ยท UCF 17โ€“27 HoustonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Houston won instead, so BYU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection23% if UCF won22% with the other result1.2-point differenceBYU playoff chance
51 other games had little impact
Alabama at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Tulsa ยท ESPN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Liberty at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern ยท FOX
Memphis at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Kansas ยท ESPNU
Boston College at SMU ยท The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn ยท CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota ยท FOX
Navy at Air Force ยท CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Florida at Missouri ยท ABC
Auburn at Tennessee ยท ESPN
California at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Louisville at NC State ยท ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State ยท ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa ยท CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State ยท The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska ยท FS1
UTEP at New Mexico ยท MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois ยท BTN
Oregon State at Colorado State ยท USA Network
Arkansas at Texas A&M ยท ESPN2
UTSA at Rice ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Miami at Clemson ยท ABC
Washington at USC ยท NBC
Utah State at Boise State ยท CBSSN
Temple at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers ยท BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State ยท USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State ยท ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State ยท The CW Network
San Josรฉ State at Hawai'i ยท MW+
The rooting list was:BYU, then Colorado, Cincinnati, Iowa State, UCF.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.