🏈 Fan Watch
How to watch

Iowa Hawkeyes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 4 · 2026
16%
Big Ten title game
5%
Win the Big Ten
41%
Make the playoff
8%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-4 job: beat Michigan.
Playoff odds by week
1234

If Iowa wins out: 31% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Iowa's path
Your game
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Iowa at Michigan

Your game. Beat Michigan and your playoff odds are 50%; lose and they drop to 31%.

Iowa 52%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Northwestern at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Northwestern visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Indiana 96%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Wisconsin at Penn State

Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings; Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Penn State 89%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Illinois at Ohio State

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; Illinois visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Ohio State 91%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Oregon at USC

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 56%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Vanderbilt at Auburn

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 57%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Utah at Iowa State

Iowa State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 68%
50 more games that don't move your needle
Liberty at Coastal Carolina
Clemson at California
Navy at UAB
South Carolina at Alabama
Tulsa at Arkansas
Ole Miss at Florida
Oklahoma at Georgia
Texas A&M at LSU
Missouri at Mississippi State
Texas at Tennessee
Arizona at Washington State
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Houston at Georgia Southern
Colorado at Baylor
Kansas State at Cincinnati
TCU at UCF
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Central Michigan at Miami
Delaware at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Stanford
Missouri State at SMU
Virginia Tech at Boston College
Wake Forest at Louisville
UCLA at Maryland
Nebraska at Michigan State
Notre Dame at Purdue
Minnesota at Washington
Rice at Fresno State
San Diego State at Toledo
Troy at Utah State
Oregon State at UTEP
Colorado State at UTSA
Boise State at Western Michigan
UConn at Miami (OH)
Army at Temple
Louisiana at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Tulane
South Florida at Bowling Green
Air Force at Nevada
Hawai'i at Wyoming
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
UNLV at Akron
App State at NC State
South Alabama at Kentucky
New Mexico at New Mexico State
Ball State at Kent State
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State
James Madison at Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.