Ohio Bobcats

0–0 · 0–0 MID-AMERICAN

Way too early

WEEK 3 · 2026

50%

MAC title game

28%

Win the MAC

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 11.8

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-3 job: beat South Alabama.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3

If Ohio wins out: 61% to win the MAC, 14% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ohio's path

Your game

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Ohio at South Alabama

Your game. Beat South Alabama and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.

Ohio 55%

No other game this week meaningfully moves Ohio's odds. Enjoy the football.

55 more games that don't move your needle

Western Michigan at Rice

Syracuse at Pittsburgh

Miami at Wake Forest

Florida State at Alabama

Georgia at Arkansas

Florida at Auburn

Troy at Missouri

New Mexico at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at South Carolina

Kennesaw State at Tennessee

UTSA at Texas

Kentucky at Texas A&M

NC State at Vanderbilt

Tulane at Kansas State

Northern Illinois at Arizona

BYU at Colorado State

Colorado at Northwestern

Miami (OH) at Cincinnati

Bowling Green at Iowa State

Arkansas State at TCU

Georgia State at UCF

Utah State at Utah

Virginia at West Virginia

Houston at Texas Tech

Kansas at Arizona State

North Carolina at Clemson

SMU at Louisville

Stanford at Duke

Virginia Tech at Maryland

Western Kentucky at Indiana

UTEP at Michigan

Akron at Minnesota

Kent State at Ohio State

Buffalo at Penn State

USC at Rutgers

Purdue at UCLA

Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin

James Madison at San Diego State

Fresno State at San José State

North Texas at Texas State

UConn at Southern Miss

East Carolina at Old Dominion

Florida International at Florida Atlantic

Temple at Toledo

UAB at Louisiana

Nevada at Middle Tennessee

Wyoming at Central Michigan

Charlotte at App State

Ball State at Liberty

Louisiana Tech at Baylor

Coastal Carolina at Delaware

Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State

Marshall at Missouri State

LSU at Ole Miss · ABC

Michigan State at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.