Georgia State Panthers
2–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2026
Week 3 pregame guide
Georgia State needs to keep the ball moving at UCF
Brown and the Panthers head to UCF with a chance to turn sustained possessions into a road upset. Protection and shared production matter most.
Read the rooting guide →The model sees Georgia State as an extreme playoff long shot.
Credit
Photo creditU.S. Army Photo by John Pellino/USMAWikimedia Commons · Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.Your game
Georgia State at UCFFinal
Georgia State
Final · Georgia State 30–44 UCFWent the other way ✗
UCF
Nothing else moves the path
the rest is background footballNothing else meaningfully changes Georgia State's path. Watch the rest because it is football.
56 other games had little impact
Syracuse at Pittsburgh · ESPN
Miami at Wake Forest · ESPN
Houston at Texas Tech · FOX
Coastal Carolina at Delaware · CBSSN
Georgia at Arkansas · ABC
Tulane at Kansas State · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Iowa State · ESPNU
Arizona State at Kansas · FS1
North Carolina at Clemson · ESPN
Akron at Minnesota · BTN
Kent State at Ohio State · FOX
Buffalo at Penn State · BTN
North Texas at Texas State · USA Network
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin · Peacock
NC State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Wyoming at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Temple at Toledo · CBSSN
Florida State at Alabama · ABC
Kentucky at Texas A&M · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati · ESPN+
Utah State at Utah · FOX
SMU at Louisville · ESPN2
UTEP at Michigan · BTN
USC at Rutgers · CBS
Stanford at Duke · The CW Network
Western Kentucky at Indiana · Peacock
Ball State at Liberty · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Baylor · ESPNU
Mississippi State at South Carolina · SEC Network
East Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Florida International at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Charlotte at App State · ESPN+
Marshall at Missouri State · CBSSN
Florida at Auburn · ESPN
Troy at Missouri · SECN+
UConn at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Rice · ESPN+
Nevada at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Ohio at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
New Mexico at Oklahoma · ESPN2
BYU at Colorado State · CBS
Colorado at Northwestern · FOX
West Virginia at Virginia · ACC Network
Virginia Tech at Maryland · FS1
Michigan State at Notre Dame · NBC
Kennesaw State at Tennessee · SEC Network
UTSA at Texas · SECN+
Arkansas State at TCU · ESPNU
UAB at Louisiana · ESPN+
James Madison at San Diego State · The CW Network
Northern Illinois at Arizona · TNT
North Dakota State at Sacramento State · ESPN
Purdue at UCLA · BTN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
The rooting list was:Georgia State. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.