Michigan Wolverines
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
3%
Big Ten title game
<1%
Win the Big Ten
11%
Make the playoff
1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.0
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Ohio State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Michigan's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Michigan at Ohio State
Your game. Beat Ohio State and your playoff odds are 33%; lose and they drop to 7%.
Ohio State 85%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
Mississippi State at Ole Miss
Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Ole Miss 92%
61 more games that don't move your needle
Nebraska at Iowa
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN
Temple at Memphis
Tulane at South Florida
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
Texas at Texas A&M · ABC
Auburn at Alabama
LSU at Arkansas
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Louisville at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Missouri
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
West Virginia at Utah
Boston College at Miami
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Notre Dame at Syracuse
Pittsburgh at California
SMU at Stanford
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Northwestern at Illinois
Purdue at Indiana
Penn State at Maryland
Washington at Oregon
Michigan State at Rutgers
USC at UCLA
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.