Memphis Tigers
0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
15%
American title game
7%
Win the American
1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-1 job: beat UNLV.
If Memphis wins out: 53% to win the American, 19% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Memphis's pathYour game
TBD
SAT AUG 29
Memphis at UNLV
Your game. Beat UNLV and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to <1%.
UNLV 62%
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 5
North Texas at Indiana
American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.
Indiana 93%
Root for Indiana+2.2 pp title-game odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Florida International at South Florida
American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play South Florida in week 11.
South Florida 90%
Root for Florida International+2.0 pp title-game odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Tulane at Duke
Hawai'i at Stanford
San José State at USC
New Mexico State at Florida State
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
NC State at Virginia · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Toledo at Michigan State
Fresno State at USC
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
Florida Atlantic at Florida
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Texas State at Texas
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
UCLA at California
UAB at Illinois
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ohio at Nebraska
Ball State at Ohio State
Boise State at Oregon
Marshall at Penn State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Western Kentucky at Nevada
UNLV at Hawai'i
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Clemson at LSU · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
SMU at Florida State · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.